Learning the lesson of an intelligence failure?Ingår i Kungl Krigsvetenskapsakademiens Handlingar och Tidskrift
Prediction of regime change is a constant challenge to intelligence organizations. What intelligence lessons can be learned from the fall of the Shah in 1978? : Why did the US intelligence community fail to predict the fall of the Shah? What failure theory explains it best? What lessons may be drawn from it? Why was Israeli intelligence more successful in this case? What may we learn combined from the US failure and the Israeli success? How does the case match theory on Regime Change and what may we learn?
The UK assessment failure on Iraqi : Why did it happen and what may we learn from it?Ingår i Kungl Krigsvetenskapsakademiens Handlingar och Tidskrift
Sten Arve Försvarshögskolan Lärare